GAME DAY
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives East Carolina a 55% chance.
SeriesSouth Florida leads 9–4 · East Carolina won the last meeting, 48–28 · 2022
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) USF
Home-field edge ECU
Model projection ECU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
South Florida @ East Carolina
Your sims:Sims: ECU 0, USF 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
East Carolina
Lat UAB30–17 (OT)Wvs Rice28–12Wvs North Carolina Central42–9
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
South Florida vs East Carolina Stats ComparisonUSF vs ECU Stats Comparison
| South FloridaUSF | East CarolinaECU | |
|---|---|---|
| 26.6#86 | PPG | 23.5#99 |
| 15.1#13 | PA/G | 23.8#72 |
| 325.7#119 | YDS/G | 338.5#114 |
| 183.9#113 | PASS/G | 183.7#114 |
| 141.9#91 | RUSH/G | 154.8#70 |
| 5.5#97 | YDS/PLAY | 5.2#114 |
| 40.3%#77 | 3RD DOWN | 31.3%#125 |
| 47.3%#34 | OFF SUCCESS | 37.8%#125 |
| 41.2%#79 | DEF SUCCESS | 34.2%#12 |
| 12.6% | RET PROD | 13.6% |
| 1.10#128 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.21#83 |
| 1613 | ELO | 1432 |
| +3#33 | TO MARGIN | −2#91 |
| 0.14#72 | OFF PPA | -0.00#123 |
| -0.00#37 | DEF PPA | -0.04#17 |
| 0.6 | SP+ | -1.3 |
| -2.2#80 | FPI | -5.2#90 |
| -0.7 | SRS | -11.5 |
THE VENUE
Dowdy-Ficklen StadiumLocationGreenville, NC
Capacity50,000
SurfaceGrass
Opened1963
Elevation63 ft
FAN NEWS
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