GAME DAY
Week 11 · ·MemphisMEM5–2·AAC
MEM radioTiger Sports Network
USF radioBulls Radio Network
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Memphis a 58% chance.
SeriesMemphis leads 10–4 · Memphis won the last meeting, 34–31 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) MEM
Home-field edge USF
Model projection MEM
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Memphis @ South Florida
Your sims:Sims: USF 0, MEM 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Memphis vs South Florida Stats ComparisonMemphis vs USF Stats Comparison
| MemphisMEM | South FloridaUSF | |
|---|---|---|
| 35.4#35 | PPG | 26.6#86 |
| 22.3#58 | PA/G | 15.1#13 |
| 512.6#5 | YDS/G | 325.7#119 |
| 274.9#25 | PASS/G | 183.9#113 |
| 237.7#8 | RUSH/G | 141.9#91 |
| 7.4#4 | YDS/PLAY | 5.5#97 |
| 45.1%#36 | 3RD DOWN | 40.3%#77 |
| +2#47 | TO MARGIN | +3#33 |
| 0.19#49 | OFF PPA | 0.14#72 |
| 0.05#63 | DEF PPA | 0.01#39 |
| 48.7%#21 | OFF SUCCESS | 47.3%#34 |
| 38.0%#44 | DEF SUCCESS | 41.4%#81 |
| 5.6% | RET PROD | 12.6% |
| 1.24#64 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.10#128 |
| 1623 | ELO | 1613 |
| 7.6 | SP+ | 0.6 |
| 3.0#57 | FPI | -2.2#80 |
| 0.6 | SRS | -0.7 |
THE VENUE
Raymond James StadiumLocationTampa, FL
Capacity65,828
SurfaceGrass
Opened1998
Elevation36 ft
FAN NEWS
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