GAME DAY
Week 12 · ·MemphisMEM5–2·AAC
MEM radioTiger Sports Network
NAVY radioNavy Football Radio Network
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Memphis a 59% chance.
SeriesMemphis leads 6–5 · Navy won the last meeting, 28–17 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) MEM
Home-field edge NAVY
Model projection MEM
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Memphis @ Navy
Your sims:Sims: NAVY 0, MEM 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Memphis vs Navy Stats ComparisonMemphis vs Navy Stats Comparison
| MemphisMEM | NavyNAVY | |
|---|---|---|
| 35.4#35 | PPG | 28.2#76 |
| 22.3#58 | PA/G | 25.8#91 |
| 511.7#5 | YDS/G | 414#54 |
| 274.9#25 | PASS/G | 115.5#134 |
| 236.9#8 | RUSH/G | 298.5#4 |
| 7.4#4 | YDS/PLAY | 6.4#37 |
| 45.1%#36 | 3RD DOWN | 43.5%#47 |
| 0.19#49 | OFF PPA | 0.23#31 |
| 0.05#63 | DEF PPA | 0.12#95 |
| 48.7%#21 | OFF SUCCESS | 47.9%#31 |
| 38.0%#43 | DEF SUCCESS | 37.4%#38 |
| 5.6% | RET PROD | 13.8% |
| 1.24#64 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.19#91 |
| 1623 | ELO | 1493 |
| +2#47 | TO MARGIN | −6#128 |
| 7.6 | SP+ | -0.2 |
| 3.0#57 | FPI | -5.5#91 |
| 0.6 | SRS | -6.7 |
THE VENUE
Navy-Marine Corps Memorial StadiumLocationAnnapolis, MD
Capacity34,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1959
Elevation35 ft
FAN NEWS
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