GAME DAY
Week 11 · TBDECU radioPirate Sports Network
CLT radio49ers Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives East Carolina a 86% chance.
SeriesCharlotte leads 2–1 · East Carolina won the last meeting, 48–22 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) ECU
Home-field edge CLT
Model projection ECU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
East Carolina @ Charlotte
Your sims:Sims: CLT 0, ECU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3East Carolina
East Carolina2025: 9–4 (6–2 AAC)
Wvs Pittsburgh23–17Wat Florida Atlantic42–3Lat UTSA58–24East Carolina2025: 9–4 (6–2 AAC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
East Carolina vs Charlotte Stats ComparisonECU vs Charlotte Stats Comparison
2025 stats| East CarolinaECU | CharlotteCLT | |
|---|---|---|
| 32.7#24 | PPG | 14.3#133 |
| 20.1#25 | PA/G | 36.3#131 |
| 449#19 | YDS/G | 285.8#132 |
| 272.7#21 | PASS/G | 204#94 |
| 176.3#46 | RUSH/G | 81.8#135 |
| 5.8#55 | YDS/PLAY | 4.6#129 |
| 47.2%#15 | 3RD DOWN | 34.5%#111 |
| 0.05#16 | DEF PPA | 0.23#115 |
| 45.8%#29 | OFF SUCCESS | 35.3%#129 |
| 37.6%#24 | DEF SUCCESS | 52.2%#136 |
| 13.6% | RET PROD | 40.9% |
| 1.16#118 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.23#73 |
| +10#11 | TO MARGIN | −8#117 |
| 0.19#49 | OFF PPA | -0.01#134 |
| -2.3 | SP+ | -24.1 |
| -0.6#68 | FPI | -14.6#126 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Jerry Richardson StadiumLocationCharlotte, NC
Capacity15,300
SurfaceTurf
Opened2013
Elevation625 ft
FAN NEWS
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