GAME DAY
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Army a 60% chance.
SeriesEast Carolina leads 9–1 · East Carolina won the last meeting, 28–6 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) ARMY
Home-field edge ARMY
Model projection ARMY
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
East Carolina @ Army
Your sims:Sims: ARMY 0, ECU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3East Carolina
East Carolina2026: 3–3 (1–1 AAC)
Lat UAB30–17 (OT)Wvs Rice28–12Wvs North Carolina Central42–9
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
East Carolina vs Army Stats ComparisonECU vs Army Stats Comparison
| East CarolinaECU | ArmyARMY | |
|---|---|---|
| 23.5#99 | PPG | 34.8#39 |
| 23.8#72 | PA/G | 20#40 |
| 338.5#114 | YDS/G | 426.7#42 |
| 183.7#114 | PASS/G | 69.2#137 |
| 154.8#70 | RUSH/G | 357.5#1 |
| 5.2#114 | YDS/PLAY | 6.5#28 |
| 31.3%#125 | 3RD DOWN | 52.1%#11 |
| 37.8%#125 | OFF SUCCESS | 53.3%#3 |
| 34.2%#12 | DEF SUCCESS | 43.1%#101 |
| 13.6% | RET PROD | 80.2% |
| 1.21#83 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.09#129 |
| 1432 | ELO | 1583 |
| −2#91 | TO MARGIN | +2#47 |
| -0.00#123 | OFF PPA | 0.35#4 |
| -0.04#17 | DEF PPA | 0.17#113 |
| -1.3 | SP+ | -0.9 |
| -5.2#90 | FPI | -0.0#69 |
| -11.5 | SRS | 5.0 |
THE VENUE
Michie StadiumLocationWest Point, NY
Capacity38,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1924
Elevation326 ft
FAN NEWS
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