GAME DAY
Week 13 · TBDFAU radioOwl Sports Network
ECU radioPirate Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives East Carolina a 68% chance.
SeriesEast Carolina leads 4–0 · East Carolina won the last meeting, 42–3 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) ECU
Home-field edge ECU
Model projection ECU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Florida Atlantic @ East Carolina
Your sims:Sims: ECU 0, FAU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Florida Atlantic
Florida Atlantic2025: 4–8 (3–5 AAC)
Lvs East Carolina42–3Lvs UConn48–45Lat Tulane35–24Florida Atlantic2025: 4–8 (3–5 AAC)East Carolina
East Carolina2025: 9–4 (6–2 AAC)
Wvs Pittsburgh23–17Wat Florida Atlantic42–3Lat UTSA58–24East Carolina2025: 9–4 (6–2 AAC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Florida Atlantic vs East Carolina Stats ComparisonFAU vs ECU Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Florida AtlanticFAU | East CarolinaECU | |
|---|---|---|
| 29.5#49 | PPG | 32.7#24 |
| 36.3#131 | PA/G | 20.1#25 |
| 445.7#22 | YDS/G | 449#19 |
| 340.5#1 | PASS/G | 272.7#21 |
| 105.2#123 | RUSH/G | 176.3#46 |
| 5.7#65 | YDS/PLAY | 5.8#55 |
| 36.8%#96 | 3RD DOWN | 47.2%#15 |
| 0.16#74 | OFF PPA | 0.19#49 |
| 0.22#113 | DEF PPA | 0.05#16 |
| 40.3%#98 | OFF SUCCESS | 45.8%#29 |
| 43.7%#99 | DEF SUCCESS | 37.6%#24 |
| 68.4% | RET PROD | 13.6% |
| 1.40#7 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.16#118 |
| −21#136 | TO MARGIN | +10#11 |
| -6.1 | SP+ | -2.3 |
| -11.3#115 | FPI | -0.6#68 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Dowdy-Ficklen StadiumLocationGreenville, NC
Capacity50,000
SurfaceGrass
Opened1963
Elevation63 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about Florida Atlantic or East Carolina?
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