GAME DAY
Week 8 · ·Terms & eligibility
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
South Carolina opens a 2.5-point favorite. Our model gives South Carolina a 55% chance.
SeriesTennessee leads 29–11–2 · Tennessee won the last meeting, 41–20 · 2023
55% One-score game
39% Cover SC −2.5
48%
What's driving the model
Your sims:Sims: SC 0, TENN 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
Model and market agree
Kalshi · $300,385 traded · as of Oct 20, 7:40 AM ETInformation only
Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →DraftKings · updated Oct 20, 6:02 AM ETNot gambling advice
Tennessee vs South Carolina Stats ComparisonTennessee vs SC Stats Comparison
| TennesseeTENN | South CarolinaSC | |
|---|---|---|
| 33.4#42 | PPG | 37.7#18 |
| 14.7#9 | PA/G | 25.5#83 |
| 405.1#60 | YDS/G | 474.7#13 |
| 188#110 | PASS/G | 242.3#56 |
| 217.1#19 | RUSH/G | 232.3#10 |
| 5.8#70 | YDS/PLAY | 6.5#28 |
| 36.6%#96 | 3RD DOWN | 47.7%#25 |
| 0.18#55 | OFF PPA | 0.21#37 |
| 44.9%#52 | OFF SUCCESS | 47.2%#37 |
| 37.0%#34 | DEF SUCCESS | 40.8%#71 |
| 35.3% | RET PROD | 69.0% |
| 1.17#100 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.21#81 |
| 1832 | ELO | 1699 |
| 16.7 | SP+ | 9.9 |
| 18.1#12 | FPI | 11.6#29 |
| 18.9 | SRS | 8.7 |
| +3#33 | TO MARGIN | −3#100 |
| -0.11#7 | DEF PPA | 0.13#101 |
THE VENUE
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