GAME DAY
Week 9 · ·MemphisMEM5–2·AAC
ARMY radioArmy Sports Network
MEM radioTiger Sports Network
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Memphis a 78% chance.
SeriesMemphis leads 4–1 · Memphis won the last meeting, 38–10 · 2002
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) MEM
Home-field edge MEM
Model projection MEM
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Army @ Memphis
Your sims:Sims: MEM 0, ARMY 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
CFB Vibes ModelMEM 78%MarketMEM 69%
Market 9 points lower than our model
Kalshi · $294 traded · as of Oct 20, 8:20 AM ETInformation only
Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Army vs Memphis Stats ComparisonArmy vs Memphis Stats Comparison
| ArmyARMY | MemphisMEM | |
|---|---|---|
| 34.8#39 | PPG | 35.4#35 |
| 20#40 | PA/G | 22.3#58 |
| 426.7#42 | YDS/G | 511.7#5 |
| 69.2#137 | PASS/G | 274.9#25 |
| 357.5#1 | RUSH/G | 236.9#8 |
| 6.5#28 | YDS/PLAY | 7.4#4 |
| 52.1%#11 | 3RD DOWN | 45.1%#36 |
| +2#47 | TO MARGIN | +2#47 |
| 0.35#4 | OFF PPA | 0.19#49 |
| 0.17#113 | DEF PPA | 0.05#63 |
| 53.3%#3 | OFF SUCCESS | 48.7%#21 |
| 43.1%#101 | DEF SUCCESS | 38.0%#43 |
| 80.2% | RET PROD | 5.6% |
| 1.09#129 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.24#64 |
| 1583 | ELO | 1623 |
| 5.0 | SRS | 0.6 |
| -0.9 | SP+ | 7.6 |
| -0.0#69 | FPI | 3.0#57 |
THE VENUE
Simmons Bank Liberty StadiumLocationMemphis, TN
Capacity58,325
SurfaceTurf
Opened1965
Elevation297 ft
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