GAME DAY
Week 9 · TBDCLEM radioClemson Athletic Network
FSU radioSeminole Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Clemson opens a 1.5-point favorite. Our model gives Clemson a 53% chance.
SeriesFlorida State leads 21–17 · Clemson won the last meeting, 24–10 · 2025
What's driving the model
Home-field edge FSU
Market lean CLEM
Model projection CLEM
Each game samples a margin around the market spread and a final total around the market total.
Clemson @ Florida State
Your sims:Sims: FSU 0, CLEM 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Florida State
Florida State2026: 1–0 (0–0 ACC)
Wvs New Mexico State34–17
Florida State2026: 1–0 (0–0 ACC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADCLEM −1.5FSU +1.5
TOTALOver 51.5Under 51.5
MONEYLINECLEM −112FSU −108
DraftKings · updated Sep 1, 6:27 PM ETNot gambling advice
Clemson vs Florida State Stats ComparisonClemson vs FSU Stats Comparison
2025 stats| ClemsonCLEM | Florida StateFSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 27.2#72 | PPG | 33#22 |
| 20.5#30 | PA/G | 22#43 |
| 392.2#66 | YDS/G | 472.2#6 |
| 267.8#24 | PASS/G | 253.4#40 |
| 124.5#106 | RUSH/G | 218.8#11 |
| 5.8#55 | YDS/PLAY | 6.7#13 |
| 34.3%#114 | 3RD DOWN | 50.6%#8 |
| 0.18#58 | OFF PPA | 0.30#14 |
| 0.10#38 | DEF PPA | 0.15#63 |
| 42.7%#64 | OFF SUCCESS | 47.2%#17 |
| 37.3%#20 | DEF SUCCESS | 40.5%#55 |
| 41.4% | RET PROD | 40.1% |
| 1.22#82 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.36#16 |
| 13.1 | SP+ | 9.1 |
| 13.4#19 | FPI | 9.3#28 |
| +2#54 | TO MARGIN | −5#103 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Doak Campbell StadiumLocationTallahassee, FL
Capacity67,277
SurfaceGrass
Opened1950
Elevation64 ft
FAN NEWS
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