GAME DAY
Week 9 · ·Terms & eligibility
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Clemson opens a 1.5-point favorite. Our model gives Clemson a 53% chance.
SeriesFlorida State leads 21–17 · Clemson won the last meeting, 24–10 · 2025
What's driving the model
Your sims:Sims: FSU 0, CLEM 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
Market 16 points higher than our model
Kalshi · $9 traded · as of Oct 20, 7:00 AM ETInformation only
Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →DraftKings · updated Oct 20, 6:02 AM ETNot gambling advice
Clemson vs Florida State Stats ComparisonClemson vs FSU Stats Comparison
| ClemsonCLEM | Florida StateFSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 22.3#106 | PPG | 31.6#55 |
| 21.5#49 | PA/G | 27.9#107 |
| 340.7#110 | YDS/G | 414.3#53 |
| 187.8#111 | PASS/G | 234.1#65 |
| 152.8#74 | RUSH/G | 180.1#48 |
| 4.9#124 | YDS/PLAY | 6.4#37 |
| 33.3%#118 | 3RD DOWN | 42.2%#57 |
| 0.02#45 | DEF PPA | 0.18#114 |
| 37.4%#126 | OFF SUCCESS | 43.3%#72 |
| 40.5%#69 | DEF SUCCESS | 42.3%#92 |
| 41.4% | RET PROD | 40.1% |
| 1.15#110 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.39#12 |
| 1515 | ELO | 1609 |
| 2.2 | SP+ | 5.8 |
| 6.5#48 | FPI | 9.6#36 |
| 4.7 | SRS | 5.6 |
| −4#111 | TO MARGIN | −4#111 |
| -0.03#127 | OFF PPA | 0.20#45 |
THE VENUE
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