GAME DAY
Week 10 · TBDFSU radioSeminole Sports Network
BC radioBC Sports Radio Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Florida State a 68% chance.
SeriesFlorida State leads 16–6 · Boston College won the last meeting, 28–13 · 2024
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) FSU
Home-field edge BC
Model projection FSU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Florida State @ Boston College
Your sims:Sims: BC 0, FSU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Florida State
Florida State2026: 1–0 (0–0 ACC)
Wvs New Mexico State34–17
Florida State2026: 1–0 (0–0 ACC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Florida State vs Boston College Stats ComparisonFSU vs BC Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Florida StateFSU | Boston CollegeBC | |
|---|---|---|
| 33#22 | PPG | 25.4#85 |
| 22#43 | PA/G | 32.8#123 |
| 472.2#6 | YDS/G | 384.2#73 |
| 253.4#40 | PASS/G | 280.2#15 |
| 218.8#11 | RUSH/G | 104#128 |
| 6.7#13 | YDS/PLAY | 5.6#74 |
| 50.6%#8 | 3RD DOWN | 39.0%#77 |
| 0.30#14 | OFF PPA | 0.16#72 |
| 0.15#63 | DEF PPA | 0.23#116 |
| 47.2%#17 | OFF SUCCESS | 43.0%#60 |
| 40.5%#55 | DEF SUCCESS | 42.9%#91 |
| 40.1% | RET PROD | 15.6% |
| 1.36#16 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.21#85 |
| −5#103 | TO MARGIN | −9#120 |
| 9.1 | SP+ | -2.5 |
| 9.3#28 | FPI | -2.7#78 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Alumni StadiumLocationChestnut Hill, MA
Capacity44,500
SurfaceTurf
Opened1957
Elevation131 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about Florida State or Boston College?
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MORE WEEK 10 GAMES
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