SEMINOLES · ACC · 2026 SEASON

Florida State Seminoles Football

Everything FSU football: schedule, scores, roster, stats, odds, history, head-to-head series, game day info and matchup simulator.

vs SMU
ESPN
Doak Campbell Stadium
5
DAYS
23
HRS
03
MIN

SMU vs Florida StateSMU vs FSU · Week 1

How to Watch →

Florida State (1–0) plays SMU next on Monday, Sep 7 at Doak Campbell Stadium.

SEASON

CFB VIBES MODEL

10,000 simulations10K sims

The Read

Florida State opens a 3-point underdog. Our model gives Florida State a 42% chance.

WIN PROBABILITY
SMU 58% FSU 42%
PROJECTED FINAL
FSU win
42%
One-score game
40%

What's driving the model

Ratings edge (Elo) SMU
Home-field edge FSU
Market lean SMU
Model projection SMU
Each game samples a margin around the market spread and a final total around the market total.
SMU @ Florida State

Your sims:Sims: FSU 0, SMU 0

#19@
SMU @ Florida State
CFB VIBES MODELSMU 58% to win
@#13
Florida State @ Alabama
CFB VIBES MODELALA 84% to win
CARK@
Central Arkansas @ Florida State
TBD
CFB VIBES MODELFSU 99% to win
@
Virginia @ Florida State
TBD
CFB VIBES MODELFSU 62% to win
PlaceTEAMCONFOVERALL
1VirginiaUVA1–01–0
2Florida StateFSU0–01–0
3North CarolinaUNC0–01–0
4StanfordSTAN0–01–0
5MiamiMIA0–00–0
RankAP TOP 25
1Ohio StateOSU
2OregonORE
3GeorgiaUGA
4Notre DameND
Florida StateFSU
RankCOACHES
1Ohio StateOSU
2OregonORE
3GeorgiaUGA
4TexasTEX
Florida StateFSU

PREDICTION MARKETS & ODDSMARKET & ODDS

All odds →All →

THE LINE

SpreadSMU −3
Total52.5