Consensus spread, total and line movement for five priced Florida State games, plus championship futures and the season win-total ladder. The team is #12 in the ACC championship market at 2% and #27 in the national market at 1%.
ACC CHAMPIONSHIP
| # | TEAM | MARKET %MKT % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Miami | down 1 today56% | |
| 2 |  SMU | 13% | |
| 3 |  Boston College | 11% | |
| 4 |  Louisville | 9% | |
| 5 |  Virginia | 8% | |
| 6 |  Clemson | 7% | |
| 7 |  California | 4% | |
| 8 |  Pittsburgh | 4% | |
| 9 |  Virginia Tech | 4% | |
| 10 |  Georgia Tech | 3% | |
| 11 |  Duke | 2% | |
| 12 |  Florida State | 2% | |
| 13 |  North Carolina | 1% | |
| 14 |  NC State | down 2 today1% | |
| 15 |  Stanford | 1% | |
| 16 |  Syracuse | 1% | |
| 17 |  Wake Forest | 1% |
NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIP
| # | TEAM | MARKET %MKT % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Notre Dame | 13% | |
| 2 |  Ohio State | 13% | |
| 3 |  Texas | 12% | |
| 4 |  Oregon | 11% | |
| 5 |  Georgia | 10% | |
| 6 |  Indiana | 10% | |
| 7 | Miami | 8% | |
| 8 |  LSU | 6% | |
| 9 |  Alabama | 4% | |
| 10 |  Texas Tech | 4% | |
| 11 |  Michigan | 3% | |
| 12 |  Oklahoma | 3% | |
| 13 |  Ole Miss | 3% | |
| 14 |  Texas A&M | 3% | |
| 15 |  Florida | 2% | |
| 16 |  Penn State | 2% | |
| 27 | Florida State | 1% |
Live Kalshi prices. Regular-season wins only, so conference title games, bowls and playoff games do not count. These strikes are quoted on thin offseason books and currently disagree with each other, so each price is shown as-is and no overall total is drawn from them.
FLORIDA STATE 2026 PROJECTED RECORD: 4–7
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
| MATCHUP | KICKOFF | VIBES WIN% | SPREAD | MOVE | TOTAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMU@Florida State | 58%42% | −3+3 | – | 52.5 | |
| Florida State@Alabama | 16%84% | +15.5−15.5 | – | 52.5 | |
| Central Arkansas@Florida State | TBD | 1%99% | TBD | – | TBD |
| Virginia@Florida State | TBD | 37%63% | TBD | – | TBD |
| Florida State@Louisville | 35%65% | TBD | – | TBD | |
| Florida State@Miami | TBD | 15%85% | +16.5−16.5 | – | 53.5 |
| Clemson@Florida State | TBD | 54%46% | −1.5+1.5 | – | 51.5 |
| Florida State@Boston College | TBD | 69%31% | TBD | – | TBD |
| Florida State@Pittsburgh | 47%53% | TBD | – | TBD | |
| NC State@Florida State | TBD | 32%68% | TBD | – | TBD |
| Florida@Florida State | 62%38% | −4.5+4.5 | – | 52.5 |
VIBES WIN% is our simulator's chance for Florida State. Spread, total and move are a sportsbook consensus (▲ moved toward the favorite, ▼ away; TBD = no line posted yet). Tap any kickoff for per-provider lines and the full simulator, or start with Prediction Markets 101 →