Virginia is 4–3. Last time out, the Cavaliers lost 23–13 to SMU. Next up, Virginia hosts Duke at Scott Stadium on at , on ESPN and ESPN App.
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SEASON
CFB VIBES MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10K simsThe Read
Virginia opens a 1.5-point favorite. Our model gives Virginia a 53% chance.
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (Elo) DUKE
Home-field edge UVA
Market lean UVA
Model projection UVA
Each game samples a margin around the market spread and a final total around the market total.
Duke @ Virginia
Your sims:Sims: UVA 0, DUKE 0
SCHEDULE
Full schedule →Standings
Full standings →| Place | TEAM | CONF | OVERALL |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | ![]() | 2–2 | 5–2 |
| 8 | ![]() | 2–2 | 5–2 |
| 9 | ![]() | 2–2 | 4–3 |
| 10 | ![]() | 2–2 | 3–4 |
| 11 | ![]() | 1–2 | 4–2 |
Rankings
All rankings →| Rank | AP TOP 25 |
|---|---|
| 1 | ![]() |
| 2 | ![]() |
| 3 | ![]() |
| 4 | ![]() |
| – | ![]() |
| Rank | COACHES |
|---|---|
| 1 | ![]() |
| 2 | ![]() |
| 3 | ![]() |
| 4 | ![]() |
| – | ![]() |
PREDICTION MARKETS & ODDSMARKET & ODDS
All odds →All →Kalshi Market Probability
$6,501 traded · sides total 101%Virginia54%
Duke47%
THE LINE
SpreadUVA −1.5
Total47.5
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