SMU is 5–1 and No. 20 in the Coaches Poll. Last time out, the Mustangs beat Virginia 23–13. On , SMU hosts California at Gerald J. Ford Stadium (, The CW and CW App).
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SEASON
CFB VIBES MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10K simsThe Read
SMU opens a 19.5-point favorite. Our model gives SMU a 88% chance.
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (Elo) SMU
Home-field edge SMU
Market lean SMU
Model projection SMU
Each game samples a margin around the market spread and a final total around the market total.
California @ SMU
Your sims:Sims: SMU 0, CAL 0
SCHEDULE
Full schedule →
Standings
Full standings →| Place | TEAM | CONF | OVERALL |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  | 4–0 | 6–0 |
| 2 |  | 4–1 | 6–1 |
| 3 |  | 3–1 | 5–1 |
| 4 |  | 2–1 | 4–2 |
| 5 |  | 2–1 | 4–2 |
Rankings
All rankings →| Rank | AP TOP 25 |
|---|---|
| 1 | |
| 2 |  |
| 3 |  |
| 4 |  |
| 23 | |
| Rank | COACHES |
|---|---|
| 1 | |
| 2 | |
| 3 | |
| 4 |  |
| 20 | |
PREDICTION MARKETS & ODDSMARKET & ODDS
All odds →All →Kalshi Market Probability
$18,403 traded · sides total 101%SMU90%
California11%
THE LINE
SpreadSMU −19.5
Total53.5
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