Consensus spread, total and line movement for three priced SMU games, plus championship futures and the season win-total ladder. The team is #2 in the ACC championship market at 13% and #42 in the national market at 1%.
ACC CHAMPIONSHIP
| # | TEAM | MARKET %MKT % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Miami | down 1 today56% | |
| 2 |  SMU | 13% | |
| 3 |  Boston College | 11% | |
| 4 |  Louisville | 9% | |
| 5 |  Virginia | 8% | |
| 6 |  Clemson | 7% | |
| 7 |  California | 4% | |
| 8 |  Pittsburgh | 4% | |
| 9 |  Virginia Tech | 4% | |
| 10 |  Georgia Tech | 3% | |
| 11 |  Duke | 2% | |
| 12 |  Florida State | 2% | |
| 13 |  North Carolina | 1% | |
| 14 |  NC State | down 2 today1% | |
| 15 |  Stanford | 1% | |
| 16 |  Syracuse | 1% | |
| 17 |  Wake Forest | 1% |
NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIP
| # | TEAM | MARKET %MKT % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Notre Dame | 13% | |
| 2 |  Ohio State | 13% | |
| 3 |  Texas | 12% | |
| 4 |  Oregon | 11% | |
| 5 |  Georgia | 10% | |
| 6 |  Indiana | 10% | |
| 7 | Miami | 8% | |
| 8 |  LSU | 6% | |
| 9 |  Alabama | 4% | |
| 10 |  Texas Tech | 4% | |
| 11 |  Michigan | 3% | |
| 12 |  Oklahoma | 3% | |
| 13 |  Ole Miss | 3% | |
| 14 |  Texas A&M | 3% | |
| 15 |  Florida | 2% | |
| 16 |  Penn State | 2% | |
| 42 | SMU | 1% |
HEISMAN TROPHY
| # | PLAYER | MARKET %MKT % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CJ Carr | 12% | |
| 2 | Arch Manning | 10% | |
| 3 | Darian Mensah | down 1 today9% | |
| 4 | Dante Moore | down 1 today8% | |
| 5 | Jeremiah Smith | up 1 today7% | |
| 6 | Julian Sayin | 7% | |
| 7 | Trinidad Chambliss | down 1 today7% | |
| 8 | Josh Hoover | 5% | |
| 9 |  Jayden Maiava | 4% | |
| 10 | John Mateer | 4% | |
| 11 | Keelon Russell | 4% | |
| 12 | Marcel Reed | 4% | |
| 13 | Sam Leavitt | 4% | |
| 14 | Gunner Stockton | 3% | |
| 15 |  LaNorris Sellers | 3% | |
| 16 |  Bear Bachmeier | 2% | |
| 17 | Bryce Underwood | 2% | |
| 18 |  Byrum Brown | 2% | |
| 19 |  Demond Williams Jr. | 2% | |
| 22 | Kevin Jennings | 2% |
MARKET FAVORS 9+ WINS · MOST LIKELY: 9 (23%)
Live Kalshi prices. Regular-season wins only, so conference title games, bowls and playoff games do not count. "Most likely" is each total's own share, derived from the ladder.
SMU 2026 PROJECTED RECORD: 10–2
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
| MATCHUP | KICKOFF | VIBES WIN% | SPREAD | MOVE | TOTAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMU@Florida State | 58%42% | −3+3 | – | 52.5 | |
| UC Davis@SMU | 1%99% | TBD | – | TBD | |
| SMU@Louisville | 46%54% | +1.5−1.5 | – | 56.5 | |
 Missouri State@SMU | TBD | 3%97% | TBD | – | TBD |
| Boston College@SMU | TBD | 13%87% | TBD | – | TBD |
| Virginia@SMU | TBD | 30%70% | TBD | – | TBD |
| California@SMU | TBD | 21%79% | TBD | – | TBD |
| SMU@Syracuse | TBD | 74%26% | TBD | – | TBD |
| Virginia Tech@SMU | 32%68% | TBD | – | TBD | |
| Wake Forest@SMU | TBD | 21%79% | TBD | – | TBD |
| SMU@Notre Dame | 13%87% | +17.5−17.5 | – | 56.5 | |
| SMU@Stanford | TBD | 75%25% | TBD | – | TBD |
VIBES WIN% is our simulator's chance for SMU. Spread, total and move are a sportsbook consensus (▲ moved toward the favorite, ▼ away; TBD = no line posted yet). Tap any kickoff for per-provider lines and the full simulator, or start with Prediction Markets 101 →