Michigan Wolverines Football

Michigan opens the 2026 season against Western Michigan on Saturday, Sep 5 at Michigan Stadium.

The Read

Michigan opens a 27.5-point favorite. Our model gives Michigan a 96% chance.

WIN PROBABILITY

MICH 96% WMU 4%

PROJECTED FINAL

Michigan

39

Western Michigan

11

MICH win
96% One-score game
10%

What's driving the model

Ratings edge (Elo) MICH

Home-field edge MICH

Market lean MICH

Model projection MICH

Each game samples a margin around the market spread and a final total around the market total.

Sim the game Western Michigan @ Michigan

Your sims:Sims: MICH 0, WMU 0

@#16

Western Michigan @ Michigan

Sat, Sep 5 · 7:30 PM EDT

CFB VIBES MODELMICH 96% to win

NBCSIM NOW →

#10@#16

Oklahoma @ Michigan

Sat, Sep 12 · 12:00 PM EDT

CFB VIBES MODELMICH 56% to win

FOXSIM NOW →

@#16

UTEP @ Michigan

Sat, Sep 19 · 3:30 PM EDT

CFB VIBES MODELMICH 99% to win

BTNSIM NOW →

#22@#16

Iowa @ Michigan

TBD

CFB VIBES MODELMICH 65% to win

SIM NOW →

Standings

Full standings →

Place	TEAM	CONF	OVERALL
3	OREOregonORE	0–0	0–0
4	IUIndianaIU	0–0	0–0
5	MICHMichiganMICH	0–0	0–0
6	WASHWashingtonWASH	0–0	0–0
7	PSUPenn StatePSU	0–0	0–0

Rankings

All rankings →

Rank	AP TOP 25
1	OSUOhio StateOSU
2	OREOregonORE
3	UGAGeorgiaUGA
4	NDNotre DameND
16	MICHMichiganMICH

Rank	COACHES
1	OSUOhio StateOSU
2	OREOregonORE
3	UGAGeorgiaUGA
4	TEXTexasTEX
16	MICHMichiganMICH