Toledo vs Michigan StateTOL vs MSU · Week 1
Where to Watch →Michigan State opens the 2026 season against Toledo on Friday, Sep 4 at Spartan Stadium.
SEASON
CFB VIBES MODEL
10,000 simulations10K simsThe Read
Michigan State opens a 9.5-point favorite. Our model gives Michigan State a 72% chance.
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (Elo) TOL
Home-field edge MSU
Market lean MSU
Model projection MSU
Each game samples a margin around the market spread and a final total around the market total.
Toledo @ Michigan State
Your sims:Sims: MSU 0, TOL 0
SCHEDULE
Full schedule →
Standings
Full standings →| Place | TEAM | CONF | OVERALL |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 |  IllinoisILL | 0–0 | 0–0 |
| 10 |  MarylandMD | 0–0 | 0–0 |
| 11 |  Michigan StateMSU | 0–0 | 0–0 |
| 12 |  MinnesotaMINN | 0–0 | 0–0 |
| 13 |  NebraskaNEB | 0–0 | 0–0 |
Rankings
All rankings →| Rank | AP TOP 25 |
|---|---|
| 1 |  Ohio StateOSU |
| 2 |  OregonORE |
| 3 |  GeorgiaUGA |
| 4 |  Notre DameND |
| – | Michigan StateMSU |
| Rank | COACHES |
|---|---|
| 1 | Ohio StateOSU |
| 2 | OregonORE |
| 3 | GeorgiaUGA |
| 4 |  TexasTEX |
| – | Michigan StateMSU |
PREDICTION MARKETS & ODDSMARKET & ODDS
All odds →All →THE LINE
SpreadMSU −9.5
Total47.5
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