Consensus spread, total and line movement for two priced Michigan State games, plus championship futures and the season win-total ladder. The team is #12 in the Big Ten championship market at 1%.
BIG TEN CHAMPIONSHIP
| # | TEAM | MARKET %MKT % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Ohio State | 31% | |
| 2 |  Oregon | 26% | |
| 3 |  Indiana | 24% | |
| 4 |  Michigan | 6% | |
| 5 |  USC | 6% | |
| 6 |  Penn State | 5% | |
| 7 |  Iowa | 2% | |
| 8 |  UCLA | 2% | |
| 9 |  Washington | 2% | |
| 10 |  Illinois | 1% | |
| 11 |  Maryland | 1% | |
| 12 |  Michigan St.Michigan State | 1% | |
| 13 |  Minnesota | 1% | |
| 14 |  Nebraska | 1% | |
| 15 |  Northwestern | 1% | |
| 16 |  Purdue | 1% | |
| 17 |  Rutgers | 1% | |
| 18 |  Wisconsin | 1% |
MARKET FAVORS 4+ WINS · MOST LIKELY: 4 (22%)
Live Kalshi prices. Regular-season wins only, so conference title games, bowls and playoff games do not count. "Most likely" is each total's own share, derived from the ladder.
MICHIGAN STATE 2026 PROJECTED RECORD: 3–9
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
| MATCHUP | KICKOFF | VIBES WIN% | SPREAD | MOVE | TOTAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Toledo@Michigan State | 27%73% | +9.5−9.5 | 1 ▼ | 47.5 | |
 Eastern Michigan@Michigan State | 9%91% | TBD | – | TBD | |
Michigan State@ Notre Dame | 5%95% | TBD | – | TBD | |
| Nebraska@Michigan State | TBD | 58%42% | TBD | – | TBD |
| Michigan State@Wisconsin | TBD | 36%64% | TBD | – | TBD |
| Illinois@Michigan State | TBD | 61%39% | TBD | – | TBD |
| Northwestern@Michigan State | TBD | 47%53% | TBD | – | TBD |
| Michigan State@UCLA | TBD | 32%68% | TBD | – | TBD |
| Michigan State@Michigan | TBD | 15%85% | +16.5−16.5 | – | 50.5 |
| Washington@Michigan State | TBD | 73%27% | TBD | – | TBD |
| Oregon@Michigan State | 91%9% | TBD | – | TBD | |
| Michigan State@Rutgers | TBD | 39%61% | TBD | – | TBD |
VIBES WIN% is our simulator's chance for Michigan State. Spread, total and move are a sportsbook consensus (▲ moved toward the favorite, ▼ away; TBD = no line posted yet). Tap any kickoff for per-provider lines and the full simulator, or start with Prediction Markets 101 →