GAME DAY
Week 11 · · Watch College Football live with Fubo for $0 TodayWatch free on ▸ (opens in a new tab)
Terms & eligibility
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Pittsburgh a 71% chance.
SeriesPittsburgh leads 7–5 · Pittsburgh won the last meeting, 34–31 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) PITT
Home-field edge PITT
Model projection PITT
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Florida State @ Pittsburgh
Your sims:Sims: PITT 0, FSU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Pittsburgh
Lat Boston College27–21Lvs North Carolina21–17Wat Virginia Tech35–33
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Florida State vs Pittsburgh Stats ComparisonFSU vs Pittsburgh Stats Comparison
| Florida StateFSU | PittsburghPITT | |
|---|---|---|
| 31.6#55 | PPG | 32.9#45 |
| 27.9#107 | PA/G | 16.4#23 |
| 414.3#53 | YDS/G | 450.1#28 |
| 234.1#65 | PASS/G | 284.6#16 |
| 180.1#48 | RUSH/G | 165.6#57 |
| 6.4#37 | YDS/PLAY | 6.3#43 |
| 42.2%#57 | 3RD DOWN | 42.9%#51 |
| 0.20#45 | OFF PPA | 0.17#61 |
| 43.3%#72 | OFF SUCCESS | 45.5%#46 |
| 42.3%#92 | DEF SUCCESS | 33.1%#6 |
| 40.1% | RET PROD | 39.7% |
| 1.39#12 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.15#109 |
| 1609 | ELO | 1624 |
| 5.8 | SP+ | 10.5 |
| 9.6#36 | FPI | 9.2#37 |
| 5.6 | SRS | 6.5 |
| −4#111 | TO MARGIN | +4#22 |
| 0.18#114 | DEF PPA | -0.04#21 |
THE VENUE
Acrisure StadiumLocationPittsburgh, PA
Capacity68,400
SurfaceGrass
Opened2001
Elevation724 ft
FAN NEWS
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