GAME DAY
Week 12 · TBDNCSU radioWolfpack Sports Network
FSU radioSeminole Sports Network
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Florida State a 75% chance.
SeriesFlorida State leads 27–17 · NC State won the last meeting, 21–11 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) FSU
Home-field edge FSU
Model projection FSU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
NC State @ Florida State
Your sims:Sims: FSU 0, NCSU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
NC State vs Florida State Stats ComparisonNC State vs FSU Stats Comparison
| NC StateNCSU | Florida StateFSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 33#44 | PPG | 31.6#55 |
| 27.7#104 | PA/G | 27.9#107 |
| 426.3#43 | YDS/G | 414.3#53 |
| 257.8#41 | PASS/G | 234.1#65 |
| 168.5#54 | RUSH/G | 180.1#48 |
| 6#59 | YDS/PLAY | 6.4#37 |
| 51.7%#12 | 3RD DOWN | 42.2%#57 |
| 0.19#48 | OFF PPA | 0.20#45 |
| 0.16#110 | DEF PPA | 0.18#114 |
| 45.6%#45 | OFF SUCCESS | 43.3%#72 |
| 42.0%#89 | DEF SUCCESS | 42.3%#92 |
| 59.9% | RET PROD | 40.1% |
| 1.24#66 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.39#12 |
| 1471 | ELO | 1609 |
| 1.1#62 | FPI | 9.6#36 |
| −1#82 | TO MARGIN | −4#111 |
| -1.3 | SP+ | 5.8 |
| -2.2 | SRS | 5.6 |
THE VENUE
Doak Campbell StadiumLocationTallahassee, FL
Capacity67,277
SurfaceGrass
Opened1950
Elevation64 ft
FAN NEWS
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