GAME DAY
Week 12 · TBDNCSU radioWolfpack Sports Network
FSU radioSeminole Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Florida State a 67% chance.
SeriesFlorida State leads 27–17 · NC State won the last meeting, 21–11 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) FSU
Home-field edge FSU
Model projection FSU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
NC State @ Florida State
Your sims:Sims: FSU 0, NCSU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3NC State
NC State2026: 0–1 (0–1 ACC)
Lat Virginia34–8NC State2026: 0–1 (0–1 ACC)Florida State
Florida State2026: 1–0 (0–0 ACC)
Wvs New Mexico State34–17Florida State2026: 1–0 (0–0 ACC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
NC State vs Florida State Stats ComparisonNC State vs FSU Stats Comparison
| NC StateNCSU | Florida StateFSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | PPG | 34 |
| 34 | PA/G | 17 |
| 168 | YDS/G | 419 |
| 92 | PASS/G | 202 |
| 76 | RUSH/G | 217 |
| 3.3 | YDS/PLAY | 6.3 |
| 30.8% | 3RD DOWN | 57.1% |
| 0.27 | DEF PPA | 0.16 |
| 31.4% | OFF SUCCESS | 44.8% |
| 47.9% | DEF SUCCESS | 34.3% |
| 59.9% | RET PROD | 40.1% |
| 0.53 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.32 |
| 5.7 | SP+ | 9.1 |
| 3.7#51 | FPI | 9.3#28 |
| −2 | TO MARGIN | +0 |
| -0.14 | OFF PPA | 0.29 |
THE VENUE
Doak Campbell StadiumLocationTallahassee, FL
Capacity67,277
SurfaceGrass
Opened1950
Elevation64 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about NC State or Florida State?
Link a team hub in a post on your own blog and it shows up here, in front of the fans looking for exactly it. Free, no exclusivity, and the link back to you is the whole point.
MORE WEEK 12 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
