GAME DAY
Week 12 · TBDPITT radioPanthers Radio Network
LOU radioCardinal Sports Network
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Louisville a 66% chance.
SeriesSeries tied 11–11 · Louisville won the last meeting, 34–27 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) LOU
Home-field edge LOU
Model projection LOU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Pittsburgh @ Louisville
Your sims:Sims: LOU 0, PITT 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Pittsburgh
Lat Boston College27–21Lvs North Carolina21–17Wat Virginia Tech35–33
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Pittsburgh vs Louisville Stats ComparisonPittsburgh vs Louisville Stats Comparison
| PittsburghPITT | LouisvilleLOU | |
|---|---|---|
| 32.9#45 | PPG | 38.7#16 |
| 16.4#23 | PA/G | 27.4#103 |
| 450.1#28 | YDS/G | 484.6#11 |
| 284.6#16 | PASS/G | 269.6#30 |
| 165.6#57 | RUSH/G | 215#20 |
| 6.3#43 | YDS/PLAY | 7.7#2 |
| 42.9%#50 | 3RD DOWN | 45.6%#33 |
| +4#22 | TO MARGIN | +6#13 |
| 0.17#62 | OFF PPA | 0.32#10 |
| 45.5%#46 | OFF SUCCESS | 48.9%#19 |
| 33.0%#6 | DEF SUCCESS | 41.0%#75 |
| 39.7% | RET PROD | 34.8% |
| 1.15#109 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.42#3 |
| 1624 | ELO | 1713 |
| 10.5 | SP+ | 13.0 |
| 9.2#37 | FPI | 13.3#23 |
| 6.5 | SRS | 10.7 |
| -0.04#19 | DEF PPA | 0.09#80 |
THE VENUE
L&N Federal Credit Union StadiumLocationLouisville, KY
Capacity60,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1998
Elevation455 ft
FAN NEWS
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