GAME DAY
Week 13 · TBDPITT radioPanthers Radio Network
CAL radioCal Bears Sports Network
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Pittsburgh a 70% chance.
SeriesPittsburgh leads 4–2 · Pittsburgh won the last meeting, 17–15 · 2024
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) PITT
Home-field edge CAL
Model projection PITT
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Pittsburgh @ California
Your sims:Sims: CAL 0, PITT 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh2026: 5–2 (2–2 ACC)
Lat Boston College27–21Lvs North Carolina21–17Wat Virginia Tech35–33
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Pittsburgh vs California Stats ComparisonPittsburgh vs California Stats Comparison
| PittsburghPITT | CaliforniaCAL | |
|---|---|---|
| 32.9#45 | PPG | 23.9#96 |
| 16.4#23 | PA/G | 27.7#104 |
| 450.1#28 | YDS/G | 378.4#79 |
| 284.6#16 | PASS/G | 288.1#15 |
| 165.6#57 | RUSH/G | 90.3#137 |
| 6.3#43 | YDS/PLAY | 5.4#104 |
| 42.9%#50 | 3RD DOWN | 37.5%#85 |
| +4#22 | TO MARGIN | +1#61 |
| 45.5%#46 | OFF SUCCESS | 38.4%#123 |
| 33.0%#6 | DEF SUCCESS | 38.1%#45 |
| 39.7% | RET PROD | 58.3% |
| 1.15#109 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.23#71 |
| 1624 | ELO | 1296 |
| 0.17#62 | OFF PPA | -0.02#126 |
| -0.04#19 | DEF PPA | 0.12#98 |
| 10.5 | SP+ | -2.5 |
| 9.2#37 | FPI | -3.9#88 |
| 6.5 | SRS | -6.3 |
THE VENUE
California Memorial StadiumLocationBerkeley, CA
Capacity62,467
SurfaceTurf
Opened1923
Elevation411 ft
FAN NEWS
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