GAME DAY
Week 13 · TBDLouisvilleLOU0–0·ACC
KentuckyUK0–0·SEC
LOU radioCardinal Sports Network
UK radioUK Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Louisville a 54% chance.
SeriesSeries tied 17–17 · Louisville won the last meeting, 41–0 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) LOU
Home-field edge UK
Model projection LOU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Louisville @ Kentucky
Your sims:Sims: UK 0, LOU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Louisville vs Kentucky Stats ComparisonLouisville vs Kentucky Stats Comparison
2025 stats| LouisvilleLOU | KentuckyUK | |
|---|---|---|
| 29.9#46 | PPG | 23#101 |
| 21.2#38 | PA/G | 26.4#75 |
| 384.6#72 | YDS/G | 341.2#105 |
| 220.6#76 | PASS/G | 201.9#96 |
| 164#61 | RUSH/G | 139.2#86 |
| 6#38 | YDS/PLAY | 5.1#111 |
| 35.3%#105 | 3RD DOWN | 40.3%#62 |
| 0.15#80 | OFF PPA | 0.09#109 |
| 0.06#20 | DEF PPA | 0.17#79 |
| 45.1%#37 | OFF SUCCESS | 43.1%#59 |
| 36.4%#15 | DEF SUCCESS | 43.6%#97 |
| 34.8% | RET PROD | 19.3% |
| 1.20#97 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.14#127 |
| 11.1 | SP+ | 5.2 |
| 9.5#27 | FPI | 5.4#40 |
| +3#46 | TO MARGIN | −8#117 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Kroger FieldLocationLexington, KY
Capacity61,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1973
Elevation1,009 ft
FAN NEWS
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MORE WEEK 13 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
