GAME DAY
Week 12 · ·Tennessee TechTNTC–
StreamingSECN+
MSST radioBulldog Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Mississippi State a 99% chance.
SeriesFirst meeting
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) MSST
Home-field edge MSST
Model projection MSST
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Tennessee Tech @ Mississippi St
Your sims:Sims: MSST 0, TNTC 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Tennessee TechTennessee Tech2025: 0–1
Lat Kentucky42–10Mississippi State
Mississippi State2025: 5–8 (1–7 SEC)
Lvs Wake Forest43–29Lvs Ole Miss38–19Lat Missouri49–27Mississippi State2025: 5–8 (1–7 SEC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Tennessee Tech vs Mississippi State Stats ComparisonTNTC vs MSST Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Tennessee TechTNTC | Mississippi StateMSST | |
|---|---|---|
| – | PPG | 30.4#42 |
| – | PA/G | 30.2#106 |
| – | YDS/G | 399.2#56 |
| – | PASS/G | 241.4#54 |
| – | RUSH/G | 157.8#68 |
| – | YDS/PLAY | 5.5#81 |
| – | 3RD DOWN | 42.7%#38 |
| – | TO MARGIN | +3#46 |
| – | OFF PPA | 0.15#80 |
| – | DEF PPA | 0.20#107 |
| – | OFF SUCCESS | 42.0%#73 |
| – | DEF SUCCESS | 43.3%#94 |
| – | RET PROD | 33.9% |
| – | EXPLOSIVE | 1.28#44 |
| – | SP+ | 4.8 |
| – | FPI | 4.1#49 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Davis Wade StadiumLocationStarkville, MS
Capacity61,337
SurfaceGrass
Opened1914
Elevation362 ft
FAN NEWS
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