GAME DAY
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Jacksonville State a 86% chance.
SeriesJacksonville State leads 4–2 since 2014 · Jacksonville State won the last meeting, 29–27 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) JXST
Home-field edge JXST
Model projection JXST
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Sam Houston @ Jacksonville State
Your sims:Sims: JXST 0, SHSU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Sam Houston
Lvs Western Kentucky16–3Lat Liberty35–3Lat Texas Tech49–14
Jacksonville State
Wvs Florida International27–24Wat Kennesaw State27–26Wvs Middle Tennessee23–13
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Sam Houston vs Jacksonville State Stats ComparisonSam Houston vs JXST Stats Comparison
| Sam HoustonSHSU | Jacksonville StateJXST | |
|---|---|---|
| 19.5#123 | PPG | 27.3#82 |
| 24.5#76 | PA/G | 22.7#61 |
| 342#107 | YDS/G | 390.6#70 |
| 247#51 | PASS/G | 240.4#57 |
| 95#134 | RUSH/G | 150.1#82 |
| 5.2#114 | YDS/PLAY | 6.4#37 |
| 37.2%#89 | 3RD DOWN | 46.3%#30 |
| 0.11#85 | DEF PPA | 0.08#74 |
| 39.0%#114 | OFF SUCCESS | 46.9%#40 |
| 39.6%#57 | DEF SUCCESS | 41.9%#87 |
| 57.7% | RET PROD | 49.5% |
| 1.26#54 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.19#90 |
| 1104 | ELO | 1430 |
| +1#61 | TO MARGIN | −4#111 |
| 0.00#122 | OFF PPA | 0.18#54 |
| -16.5 | SP+ | -2.4 |
| -16.7#127 | FPI | -8.3#97 |
| -12.2 | SRS | -7.4 |
THE VENUE
AmFirst StadiumLocationJacksonville, AL
Capacity24,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1947
Elevation650 ft
FAN NEWS
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