GAME DAY
Week 11 · ·JXST radioGamecock Sports Network
WKU radioHilltopper Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Western Kentucky a 60% chance.
SeriesJacksonville State leads 3–1 · Jacksonville State won the last meeting, 37–34 · 2025
WIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
WKU win
60% One-score game
38%
60% One-score game
38%
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) WKU
Home-field edge WKU
Model projection WKU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Jacksonville St @ Western Kentucky
Your sims:Sims: WKU 0, JXST 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Jacksonville State
Jacksonville State2026: 0–1 (0–0 CUSA)
Lat North Dakota State33–7Jacksonville State2026: 0–1 (0–0 CUSA)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Jacksonville State vs Western Kentucky Stats ComparisonJXST vs WKU Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Jacksonville StateJXST | Western KentuckyWKU | |
|---|---|---|
| 28.1#62 | PPG | 29.5#49 |
| 25.2#71 | PA/G | 22.8#47 |
| 409.4#41 | YDS/G | 406.8#45 |
| 161.8#122 | PASS/G | 272.2#22 |
| 247.6#5 | RUSH/G | 134.6#94 |
| 5.9#46 | YDS/PLAY | 5.8#55 |
| 38.7%#81 | 3RD DOWN | 45.9%#24 |
| 0.19#53 | OFF PPA | 0.17#70 |
| 0.15#69 | DEF PPA | 0.10#39 |
| 43.9%#47 | OFF SUCCESS | 43.4%#53 |
| 42.0%#77 | DEF SUCCESS | 36.4%#15 |
| 49.5% | RET PROD | 83.7% |
| 1.25#56 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.20#95 |
| +11#8 | TO MARGIN | −7#112 |
| -7.8 | SP+ | -7.3 |
| -8.5#101 | FPI | -4.9#86 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith StadiumLocationBowling Green, KY
Capacity22,113
SurfaceTurf
Opened1968
Elevation507 ft
FAN NEWS
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