GAME DAY
Week 11 · ·JXST radioGamecock Sports Network
WKU radioHilltopper Sports Network
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Jacksonville State a 66% chance.
SeriesJacksonville State leads 3–1 since 2023 · Jacksonville State won the last meeting, 37–34 · 2025
WIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
WKU win
34% One-score game
36%
34% One-score game
36%
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) JXST
Home-field edge WKU
Model projection JXST
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Jacksonville St @ Western Kentucky
Your sims:Sims: WKU 0, JXST 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Jacksonville State
Jacksonville State2026: 5–2 (3–0 CUSA)
Wvs Florida International27–24Wat Kennesaw State27–26Wvs Middle Tennessee23–13
Western Kentucky
Western Kentucky2026: 3–4 (2–1 CUSA)
Wat Sam Houston16–3Wvs Missouri State34–13Lat New Mexico State34–13
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Jacksonville State vs Western Kentucky Stats ComparisonJXST vs WKU Stats Comparison
| Jacksonville StateJXST | Western KentuckyWKU | |
|---|---|---|
| 27.3#82 | PPG | 21.3#113 |
| 22.7#61 | PA/G | 30.6#117 |
| 390.6#70 | YDS/G | 353#101 |
| 240.4#57 | PASS/G | 218.3#82 |
| 150.1#82 | RUSH/G | 134.7#102 |
| 6.4#37 | YDS/PLAY | 4.9#124 |
| 46.3%#30 | 3RD DOWN | 40.7%#74 |
| 0.18#54 | OFF PPA | 0.03#114 |
| 0.08#74 | DEF PPA | 0.13#99 |
| 46.9%#40 | OFF SUCCESS | 36.6%#129 |
| 41.9%#87 | DEF SUCCESS | 39.5%#56 |
| 49.5% | RET PROD | 83.7% |
| 1.19#90 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.25#58 |
| 1430 | ELO | 1269 |
| −4#111 | TO MARGIN | −3#100 |
| -2.4 | SP+ | -13.0 |
| -8.3#97 | FPI | -11.9#110 |
| -7.4 | SRS | -11.2 |
THE VENUE
Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith StadiumLocationBowling Green, KY
Capacity22,113
SurfaceTurf
Opened1968
Elevation507 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about Jacksonville State or Western Kentucky?
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