GAME DAY
Week 12 · ·MOST radioBears Sports Network
JXST radioGamecock Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsWIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
JXST win
82% One-score game
27%
82% One-score game
27%
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) JXST
Home-field edge JXST
Model projection JXST
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Missouri St @ Jacksonville St
Your sims:Sims: JXST 0, MOST 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Jacksonville State
Jacksonville State2026: 0–1 (0–0 CUSA)
Lat North Dakota State33–7Jacksonville State2026: 0–1 (0–0 CUSA)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Missouri State vs Jacksonville State Stats ComparisonMOST vs JXST Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Missouri StateMOST | Jacksonville StateJXST | |
|---|---|---|
| 25.6#83 | PPG | 28.1#62 |
| 28.8#91 | PA/G | 25.2#71 |
| 393.4#64 | YDS/G | 409.4#41 |
| 279.7#16 | PASS/G | 161.8#122 |
| 113.7#118 | RUSH/G | 247.6#5 |
| 6#38 | YDS/PLAY | 5.9#46 |
| 36.3%#101 | 3RD DOWN | 38.7%#81 |
| 0.17#66 | OFF PPA | 0.19#53 |
| 0.24#122 | DEF PPA | 0.15#69 |
| 39.3%#110 | OFF SUCCESS | 43.9%#47 |
| 42.6%#87 | DEF SUCCESS | 42.0%#77 |
| 31.3% | RET PROD | 49.5% |
| 1.49#2 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.25#56 |
| −3#86 | TO MARGIN | +11#8 |
| -19.1 | SP+ | -7.8 |
| -10.3#110 | FPI | -8.5#101 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
AmFirst StadiumLocationJacksonville, AL
Capacity24,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1947
Elevation650 ft
FAN NEWS
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