GAME DAY
Week 12 · ·MOST radioBears Sports Network
JXST radioGamecock Sports Network
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsWIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
JXST win
90% One-score game
19%
90% One-score game
19%
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) JXST
Home-field edge JXST
Model projection JXST
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Missouri St @ Jacksonville St
Your sims:Sims: JXST 0, MOST 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Missouri State
Wvs Kennesaw State24–21Lat Western Kentucky34–13Lat SMU34–24
Jacksonville State
Wvs Florida International27–24Wat Kennesaw State27–26Wvs Middle Tennessee23–13
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Missouri State vs Jacksonville State Stats ComparisonMOST vs JXST Stats Comparison
| Missouri StateMOST | Jacksonville StateJXST | |
|---|---|---|
| 22.2#108 | PPG | 27.3#82 |
| 30.5#116 | PA/G | 22.7#61 |
| 359.5#95 | YDS/G | 390.6#70 |
| 224.7#76 | PASS/G | 240.4#57 |
| 134.8#101 | RUSH/G | 150.1#82 |
| 5.6#86 | YDS/PLAY | 6.4#37 |
| 35.1%#109 | 3RD DOWN | 46.3%#30 |
| 0.06#102 | OFF PPA | 0.18#54 |
| 0.23#125 | DEF PPA | 0.08#74 |
| 39.6%#108 | OFF SUCCESS | 46.9%#40 |
| 49.3%#135 | DEF SUCCESS | 41.9%#87 |
| 31.3% | RET PROD | 49.5% |
| 1.23#70 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.19#90 |
| 1233 | ELO | 1430 |
| −1#82 | TO MARGIN | −4#111 |
| -19.5 | SP+ | -2.4 |
| -14.7#123 | FPI | -8.3#97 |
| -15.6 | SRS | -7.4 |
THE VENUE
AmFirst StadiumLocationJacksonville, AL
Capacity24,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1947
Elevation650 ft
FAN NEWS
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