GAME DAY
Week 13 · ·LIB radioLiberty Flames Sports Network
MOST radioBears Sports Network
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Liberty a 91% chance.
SeriesMissouri State leads 1–0 since 2025 · Missouri State won the last meeting, 21–17 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) LIB
Home-field edge MOST
Model projection LIB
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Liberty @ Missouri State
Your sims:Sims: MOST 0, LIB 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Missouri State
Wvs Kennesaw State24–21Lat Western Kentucky34–13Lat SMU34–24
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Liberty vs Missouri State Stats ComparisonLiberty vs MOST Stats Comparison
| LibertyLIB | Missouri StateMOST | |
|---|---|---|
| 31.2#58 | PPG | 22.2#108 |
| 15.3#15 | PA/G | 30.5#116 |
| 415.8#52 | YDS/G | 359.5#95 |
| 192.8#105 | PASS/G | 224.7#76 |
| 223#15 | RUSH/G | 134.8#101 |
| 6.5#28 | YDS/PLAY | 5.6#86 |
| 45.2%#35 | 3RD DOWN | 35.1%#109 |
| 0.17#59 | OFF PPA | 0.06#102 |
| 48.0%#27 | OFF SUCCESS | 39.6%#108 |
| 34.1%#10 | DEF SUCCESS | 49.3%#135 |
| 38.3% | RET PROD | 31.3% |
| 1.13#117 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.23#70 |
| 1746 | ELO | 1233 |
| +3#33 | TO MARGIN | −1#82 |
| -0.04#19 | DEF PPA | 0.23#125 |
| 7.3 | SP+ | -19.5 |
| 0.7#64 | FPI | -14.7#123 |
| 2.7 | SRS | -15.6 |
THE VENUE
Plaster Sports ComplexLocationSpringfield, MO
Capacity17,337
SurfaceTurf
Opened1941
Elevation1,320 ft
FAN NEWS
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