GAME DAY
Week 12 · ·WKU radioHilltopper Sports Network
LIB radioLiberty Flames Sports Network
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Liberty a 93% chance.
SeriesLiberty leads 3–0 since 2020 · Liberty won the last meeting, 38–21 · 2024
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) LIB
Home-field edge LIB
Model projection LIB
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Western Kentucky @ Liberty
Your sims:Sims: LIB 0, WKU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Western Kentucky
Wat Sam Houston16–3Wvs Missouri State34–13Lat New Mexico State34–13
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Western Kentucky vs Liberty Stats ComparisonWKU vs Liberty Stats Comparison
| Western KentuckyWKU | LibertyLIB | |
|---|---|---|
| 21.3#113 | PPG | 31.2#58 |
| 30.6#117 | PA/G | 15.3#15 |
| 353#101 | YDS/G | 415.8#52 |
| 218.3#82 | PASS/G | 192.8#105 |
| 134.7#103 | RUSH/G | 223#15 |
| 4.9#124 | YDS/PLAY | 6.5#28 |
| 40.7%#74 | 3RD DOWN | 45.2%#35 |
| 0.03#115 | OFF PPA | 0.17#59 |
| 36.6%#129 | OFF SUCCESS | 48.0%#28 |
| 39.3%#53 | DEF SUCCESS | 34.1%#10 |
| 83.7% | RET PROD | 38.3% |
| 1.25#58 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.13#117 |
| 1269 | ELO | 1746 |
| −3#100 | TO MARGIN | +3#33 |
| 0.13#98 | DEF PPA | -0.04#18 |
| -13.0 | SP+ | 7.3 |
| -11.9#110 | FPI | 0.7#64 |
| -11.2 | SRS | 2.7 |
THE VENUE
Williams Stadium (VA)LocationLynchburg, VA
Capacity25,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1989
Elevation895 ft
FAN NEWS
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