New Mexico State vs Sam HoustonNMSU vs SHSU · Week 8
Where to Watch →Sam Houston is 1–5. Last time out, the Bearkats lost 16–3 to Western Kentucky. Next up, Sam Houston hosts New Mexico State at Elliott T. Bowers Stadium on at , on ESPN2 and ESPN App.
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SEASON
CFB VIBES MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10K simsThe Read
Sam Houston opens a 3-point underdog. Our model gives Sam Houston a 43% chance.
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (Elo) NMSU
Home-field edge SHSU
Market lean NMSU
Model projection NMSU
Each game samples a margin around the market spread and a final total around the market total.
New Mexico State @ Sam Houston
Your sims:Sims: SHSU 0, NMSU 0
SCHEDULE
Full schedule →Standings
Full standings →| Place | TEAM | CONF | OVERALL |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | ![]() | 1–1 | 2–4 |
| 7 | ![]() | 1–1 | 2–4 |
| 8 | ![]() | 0–2 | 2–4 |
| 9 | ![]() | 0–2 | 1–5 |
| 10 | ![]() | 0–2 | 1–5 |
Rankings
All rankings →| Rank | AP TOP 25 |
|---|---|
| 1 | ![]() |
| 2 | ![]() |
| 3 | ![]() |
| 4 | ![]() |
| – | ![]() |
| Rank | COACHES |
|---|---|
| 1 | ![]() |
| 2 | ![]() |
| 3 | ![]() |
| 4 | ![]() |
| – | ![]() |
PREDICTION MARKETS & ODDSMARKET & ODDS
All odds →All →Kalshi Market Probability
$110,108 tradedNew Mexico State56%
Sam Houston44%
THE LINE
SpreadNMSU −3
Total44.5
Move▲ 0.5














