GAME DAY
Week 2 · ·MemphisMEM1–0·AAC
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Boise State a 70% chance.
SeriesMemphis leads 1–0 · Memphis won the last meeting, 35–32 · 2023
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) BOIS
Home-field edge BOIS
Model projection BOIS
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Memphis @ Boise State
Your sims:Sims: BOIS 0, MEM 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Memphis
Memphis2026: 1–0 (0–0 AAC)
Wat UNLV27–21Memphis2026: 1–0 (0–0 AAC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Memphis vs Boise State Stats ComparisonMemphis vs Boise State Stats Comparison
2025 stats| MemphisMEM | Boise StateBOIS | |
|---|---|---|
| 32.5#25 | PPG | 29.9#46 |
| 23.2#52 | PA/G | 24.1#61 |
| 411.5#36 | YDS/G | 424.3#24 |
| 228.4#65 | PASS/G | 244.9#51 |
| 183.2#32 | RUSH/G | 179.4#38 |
| 6.1#31 | YDS/PLAY | 5.8#55 |
| 41.7%#45 | 3RD DOWN | 45.8%#26 |
| +7#21 | TO MARGIN | +2#54 |
| 0.24#24 | OFF PPA | 0.17#60 |
| 0.17#78 | DEF PPA | 0.10#42 |
| 44.9%#39 | OFF SUCCESS | 40.9%#86 |
| 40.9%#59 | DEF SUCCESS | 35.3%#8 |
| 5.6% | RET PROD | 66.3% |
| 1.31#33 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.30#36 |
| 0.3 | SP+ | 5.1 |
| -1.9#74 | FPI | 4.0#50 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Albertsons StadiumLocationBoise, ID
Capacity36,387
SurfaceTurf
Opened1970
Elevation2,701 ft
FAN NEWS
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MORE WEEK 2 GAMES
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