GAME DAY
Week 3 · ·South DakotaSDAK–
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Boise State a 99% chance.
SeriesFirst meeting
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) BOIS
Home-field edge BOIS
Model projection BOIS
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
South Dakota @ Boise State
Your sims:Sims: BOIS 0, SDAK 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
South Dakota vs Boise State Stats ComparisonSouth Dakota vs Boise State Stats Comparison
2025 stats| South DakotaSDAK | Boise StateBOIS | |
|---|---|---|
| – | PPG | 29.9#46 |
| – | PA/G | 24.1#61 |
| – | YDS/G | 424.3#24 |
| – | PASS/G | 244.9#51 |
| – | RUSH/G | 179.4#38 |
| – | YDS/PLAY | 5.8#55 |
| – | 3RD DOWN | 45.8%#26 |
| – | TO MARGIN | +2#54 |
| – | OFF PPA | 0.17#60 |
| – | DEF PPA | 0.10#42 |
| – | OFF SUCCESS | 40.9%#86 |
| – | DEF SUCCESS | 35.3%#8 |
| – | RET PROD | 66.3% |
| – | EXPLOSIVE | 1.30#36 |
| – | SP+ | 5.1 |
| – | FPI | 4.0#50 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Albertsons StadiumLocationBoise, ID
Capacity36,387
SurfaceTurf
Opened1970
Elevation2,701 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about South Dakota or Boise State?
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