GAME DAY
Week 3 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Western Michigan a 63% chance.
SeriesRice leads 1–0 · Rice won the last meeting, 38–14 · 2008
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) WMU
Home-field edge RICE
Model projection WMU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Western Michigan @ Rice
Your sims:Sims: RICE 0, WMU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Western Michigan
Western Michigan2025: 10–4 (7–1 MAC)
Wvs Kennesaw State41–6Wvs Miami (OH)23–13Wat Eastern Michigan31–21Western Michigan2025: 10–4 (7–1 MAC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Western Michigan vs Rice Stats ComparisonWMU vs Rice Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Western MichiganWMU | RiceRICE | |
|---|---|---|
| 24.9#88 | PPG | 19.1#121 |
| 17.4#9 | PA/G | 32.9#124 |
| 343#103 | YDS/G | 302.4#126 |
| 138.5#130 | PASS/G | 97.6#135 |
| 204.5#16 | RUSH/G | 204.8#15 |
| 5.2#104 | YDS/PLAY | 4.5#133 |
| 40.3%#62 | 3RD DOWN | 34.0%#116 |
| 0.10#106 | OFF PPA | 0.04#126 |
| 0.05#17 | DEF PPA | 0.24#120 |
| 42.3%#69 | OFF SUCCESS | 35.6%#128 |
| 37.5%#23 | DEF SUCCESS | 41.4%#66 |
| 99.7% | RET PROD | 39.4% |
| 1.05#136 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.21#90 |
| +9#14 | TO MARGIN | −4#98 |
| -6.0 | SP+ | -15.3 |
| -4.0#82 | FPI | -13.4#122 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Rice StadiumLocationHouston, TX
Capacity47,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1950
Elevation23 ft
FAN NEWS
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