GAME DAY
Week 5 · TBDMSU radioSpartan Media Network
WIS radioBadger Radio Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Wisconsin a 63% chance.
SeriesMichigan State leads 32–23 · Michigan State won the last meeting, 34–28 · 2022
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) WIS
Home-field edge WIS
Model projection WIS
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Michigan State @ Wisconsin
Your sims:Sims: WIS 0, MSU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Michigan State vs Wisconsin Stats ComparisonMSU vs Wisconsin Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Michigan StateMSU | WisconsinWIS | |
|---|---|---|
| 24.6#89 | PPG | 12.8#135 |
| 29.9#104 | PA/G | 21.6#39 |
| 345.3#99 | YDS/G | 254.8#135 |
| 222.7#70 | PASS/G | 136.4#132 |
| 122.7#110 | RUSH/G | 118.3#115 |
| 5.4#92 | YDS/PLAY | 4.4#135 |
| 34.6%#110 | 3RD DOWN | 32.3%#126 |
| 0.13#90 | OFF PPA | 0.02#130 |
| 0.20#101 | DEF PPA | 0.17#82 |
| 42.1%#72 | OFF SUCCESS | 36.6%#122 |
| 44.6%#110 | DEF SUCCESS | 44.8%#115 |
| 20.9% | RET PROD | 31.0% |
| 1.20#98 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.20#102 |
| 2.2 | SP+ | 3.8 |
| 0.3#65 | FPI | 4.8#43 |
| −3#86 | TO MARGIN | −10#123 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Camp Randall StadiumLocationMadison, WI
Capacity80,321
SurfaceTurf
Opened1917
Elevation865 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about Michigan State or Wisconsin?
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MORE WEEK 5 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
