GAME DAY
Week 1 · ·Southeast Missouri StateSEMO–
Iowa StateISU0–0·B12
StreamingESPN+
ISU radioCyclone Radio Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Iowa State opens a 29.5-point favorite. Our model gives Iowa State a 97% chance.
SeriesIowa State leads 1–0 · Iowa State won the last meeting, 42–10 · 2022
WIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
Southeast Missouri State
13
ISU win
97% One-score game
8%
97% One-score game
8%
What's driving the model
Home-field edge ISU
Market lean ISU
Model projection ISU
Each game samples a margin around the market spread and a final total around the market total.
Southeast Missouri St @ Iowa St
Your sims:Sims: ISU 0, SEMO 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Southeast Missouri StateSoutheast Missouri State2025: 0–2
Lat North Dakota State41–14Lat Arkansas State42–24Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADSEMO +29.5ISU −29.5
TOTALOver 53.5Under 53.5
MONEYLINESEMO +3500ISU −20000
DraftKings · updated Sep 1, 6:27 PM ETNot gambling advice
Southeast Missouri State vs Iowa State Stats ComparisonSEMO vs Iowa State Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Southeast Missouri StateSEMO | Iowa StateISU | |
|---|---|---|
| – | PPG | 27.4#70 |
| – | PA/G | 20.2#26 |
| – | YDS/G | 395.6#60 |
| – | PASS/G | 221.4#73 |
| – | RUSH/G | 174.2#51 |
| – | YDS/PLAY | 5.8#55 |
| – | 3RD DOWN | 39.9%#69 |
| – | TO MARGIN | +4#43 |
| – | OFF PPA | 0.19#52 |
| – | DEF PPA | 0.09#35 |
| – | OFF SUCCESS | 45.0%#38 |
| – | DEF SUCCESS | 39.1%#42 |
| – | RET PROD | 1.7% |
| – | EXPLOSIVE | 1.21#89 |
| – | SP+ | -0.4 |
| – | FPI | -0.9#72 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Jack Trice StadiumLocationAmes, IA
Capacity61,500
SurfaceGrass
Opened1975
Elevation902 ft
FAN NEWS
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