GAME DAY
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Southern Illinois a 85% chance.
SeriesSouthern Illinois leads 14–6 · Southern Illinois won the last meeting, 59–31 · 2025
WIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
SIU win
85% One-score game
24%
85% One-score game
24%
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) SIU
Home-field edge SIU
Model projection SIU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from last season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Southeast Missouri St @ Southern Illinois
Your sims:Sims: SIU 0, SEMO 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Southeast Missouri State vs Southern Illinois Stats ComparisonSEMO vs SIU Stats Comparison
2026 stats| Southeast Missouri StateSEMO | Southern IllinoisSIU | |
|---|---|---|
| 16.5 | PPG | 26.5 |
| 29.5 | PA/G | 26 |
| 268 | YDS/G | 368.5 |
| 208 | PASS/G | 170 |
| 60 | RUSH/G | 198.5 |
| 4 | YDS/PLAY | 4.9 |
| 38.7% | 3RD DOWN | 40.0% |
| 0.07 | OFF PPA | 0.12 |
| 0.21 | DEF PPA | 0.12 |
| 31.1% | OFF SUCCESS | 36.4% |
| 34.2% | DEF SUCCESS | 36.7% |
| 1.52 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.61 |
| −1 | TO MARGIN | +0 |
2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Saluki StadiumLocationCarbondale, IL
Capacity15,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened2010
Elevation416 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about Southeast Missouri State or Southern Illinois?
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MORE WEEK 2 GAMES
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