GAME DAY
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Southeast Missouri State a 54% chance.
SeriesSeries tied 1–1 · Central Arkansas won the last meeting, 38–33 · 2023
WIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
SEMO win
54% One-score game
37%
54% One-score game
37%
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) CARK
Home-field edge SEMO
Model projection SEMO
Each game samples a margin around our projection from last season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Central Arkansas @ Southeast Missouri St
Your sims:Sims: SEMO 0, CARK 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Central Arkansas vs Southeast Missouri State Stats ComparisonCARK vs SEMO Stats Comparison
2026 stats| Central ArkansasCARK | Southeast Missouri StateSEMO | |
|---|---|---|
| 25 | PPG | 16.5 |
| 33 | PA/G | 29.5 |
| 409 | YDS/G | 268 |
| 220 | PASS/G | 208 |
| 189 | RUSH/G | 60 |
| 6.3 | YDS/PLAY | 4 |
| 52.0% | 3RD DOWN | 38.7% |
| 0.17 | OFF PPA | 0.07 |
| 0.23 | DEF PPA | 0.21 |
| 46.9% | OFF SUCCESS | 31.1% |
| 38.4% | DEF SUCCESS | 34.2% |
| 1.34 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.52 |
| −2 | TO MARGIN | −1 |
2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Houck FieldLocationCape Girardeau, MO
Capacity10,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1930
Elevation400 ft
FAN NEWS
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