GAME DAY
Week 11 · ·OHIO radioOhio Sports Network
M-OH radioRedHawk Radio Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Miami (OH) a 76% chance.
SeriesMiami (OH) leads 33–30–1 · Ohio won the last meeting, 24–20 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) M-OH
Home-field edge M-OH
Model projection M-OH
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Ohio @ Miami (OH)
Your sims:Sims: M-OH 0, OHIO 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Miami (OH)
Miami (OH)2025: 7–7 (6–2 MAC)
Lvs Fresno State18–3Lvs Western Michigan23–13Wvs Ball State45–24Miami (OH)2025: 7–7 (6–2 MAC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Ohio vs Miami (OH) Stats ComparisonOhio vs Miami (OH) Stats Comparison
2025 stats| OhioOHIO | Miami (OH)M-OH | |
|---|---|---|
| 27.8#66 | PPG | 23.5#95 |
| 21.9#42 | PA/G | 21.7#41 |
| 412.3#35 | YDS/G | 338.1#108 |
| 184.2#109 | PASS/G | 187.3#106 |
| 228.2#9 | RUSH/G | 150.8#78 |
| 6.2#27 | YDS/PLAY | 5.5#81 |
| 42.4%#42 | 3RD DOWN | 34.7%#109 |
| 0.21#39 | OFF PPA | 0.10#104 |
| 0.13#57 | DEF PPA | 0.09#34 |
| 44.9%#39 | OFF SUCCESS | 39.4%#109 |
| 41.2%#62 | DEF SUCCESS | 39.3%#44 |
| 62.5% | RET PROD | 13.9% |
| 1.22#78 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.21#93 |
| −2#81 | TO MARGIN | +5#35 |
| -11.8 | SP+ | -4.0 |
| -8.0#97 | FPI | -7.0#94 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Yager StadiumLocationOxford, OH
Capacity24,286
SurfaceTurf
Opened1983
Elevation795 ft
FAN NEWS
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