GAME DAY
Week 11 · TBDAUB radioAuburn Sports Network
MSST radioBulldog Sports Network
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Terms & eligibility
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Mississippi State a 63% chance.
SeriesAuburn leads 63–31–3 · Auburn won the last meeting, 27–13 · 2023
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) MSST
Home-field edge MSST
Model projection MSST
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Auburn @ Mississippi State
Your sims:Sims: MSST 0, AUB 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Auburn vs Mississippi State Stats ComparisonAuburn vs MSST Stats Comparison
| AuburnAUB | Mississippi StateMSST | |
|---|---|---|
| 26.8#84 | PPG | 32.5#48 |
| 21.8#54 | PA/G | 28.5#111 |
| 393.7#67 | YDS/G | 454.3#22 |
| 211.7#91 | PASS/G | 277.8#22 |
| 182#45 | RUSH/G | 176.5#50 |
| 5.6#86 | YDS/PLAY | 6.4#37 |
| 45.6%#33 | 3RD DOWN | 46.2%#32 |
| 0.10#90 | OFF PPA | 0.20#44 |
| 0.02#43 | DEF PPA | 0.12#96 |
| 41.3%#91 | OFF SUCCESS | 47.8%#32 |
| 40.4%#66 | DEF SUCCESS | 44.8%#116 |
| 14.4% | RET PROD | 33.9% |
| 1.26#51 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.24#66 |
| 1699 | ELO | 1558 |
| 11.0 | SP+ | 12.6 |
| 13.4#21 | FPI | 9.1#38 |
| 10.5 | SRS | 9.6 |
| +2#47 | TO MARGIN | −3#100 |
THE VENUE
Davis Wade StadiumLocationStarkville, MS
Capacity61,337
SurfaceGrass
Opened1914
Elevation362 ft
FAN NEWS
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