GAME DAY
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Kent State opens a 3-point favorite. Our model gives Kent State a 57% chance.
SeriesAkron leads 26–19–1 · Kent State won the last meeting, 42–35 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (Elo) KENT
Home-field edge KENT
Market lean KENT
Model projection KENT
Each game samples a margin around the market spread and a final total around the market total.
Akron @ Kent State
Your sims:Sims: KENT 0, AKR 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
CFB Vibes ModelKENT 57%MarketKENT 57%
Model and market agree
Kalshi · $471 traded · as of Oct 20, 7:40 AM ETInformation only
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADAKR +3KENT −3
TOTALOver 46.5Under 46.5
MONEYLINEAKR +124KENT −148
DraftKings · updated Oct 20, 6:02 AM ETNot gambling advice
Akron vs Kent State Stats ComparisonAkron vs Kent State Stats Comparison
| AkronAKR | Kent StateKENT | |
|---|---|---|
| 18.9#126 | PPG | 12#138 |
| 32.4#124 | PA/G | 32#120 |
| 339.6#111 | YDS/G | 272.4#137 |
| 206.9#94 | PASS/G | 169.9#124 |
| 132.7#108 | RUSH/G | 102.6#132 |
| 5.2#114 | YDS/PLAY | 4.3#136 |
| 38.7%#83 | 3RD DOWN | 36.7%#95 |
| 0.24#127 | DEF PPA | 0.15#108 |
| 41.6%#87 | OFF SUCCESS | 33.0%#136 |
| 44.3%#114 | DEF SUCCESS | 46.7%#126 |
| 91.8% | RET PROD | 64.1% |
| 1.11#126 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.24#65 |
| 868 | ELO | 1007 |
| −7#131 | TO MARGIN | −5#120 |
| 0.07#99 | OFF PPA | -0.10#136 |
| -22.4 | SP+ | -22.6 |
| -22.1#134 | FPI | -22.3#135 |
| -21.9 | SRS | -15.2 |
THE VENUE
Dix StadiumLocationKent, OH
Capacity25,319
SurfaceTurf
Opened1969
Elevation1,054 ft
FAN NEWS
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