GAME DAY
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k Sims
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) KENT
Home-field edge SAC
Model projection SAC
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Kent State @ Sacramento State
Your sims:Sims: SAC 0, KENT 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Sacramento State
Lvs Ohio48–7Lat Bowling Green38–10Lvs Massachusetts35–6
Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
CFB Vibes ModelKENT 45%MarketKENT 75%
Market 30 points higher than our model
Kalshi · $0 traded · as of Oct 20, 7:40 AM ETInformation only
Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Kent State vs Sacramento State Stats ComparisonKent State vs SAC Stats Comparison
| Kent StateKENT | Sacramento StateSAC | |
|---|---|---|
| 12#138 | PPG | 15#135 |
| 32#120 | PA/G | 32.7#125 |
| 272.4#137 | YDS/G | 302.3#132 |
| 169.9#124 | PASS/G | 194.7#104 |
| 102.6#132 | RUSH/G | 107.6#126 |
| 4.3#136 | YDS/PLAY | 4.6#135 |
| 36.7%#95 | 3RD DOWN | 33.7%#115 |
| 0.15#108 | DEF PPA | 0.19#119 |
| 33.0%#136 | OFF SUCCESS | 40.1%#102 |
| 46.7%#126 | DEF SUCCESS | 39.6%#57 |
| 1.24#65 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.02#138 |
| 1007 | ELO | 1019 |
| −5#120 | TO MARGIN | −10#137 |
| -0.10#136 | OFF PPA | -0.08#134 |
| 64.1% | RET PROD | – |
| -22.6 | SP+ | -24.7 |
| -22.3#135 | FPI | -32.4#138 |
| -15.2 | SRS | -28.7 |
THE VENUE
Hornet StadiumLocationSacramento, CA
Capacity21,195
SurfaceTurf
Opened1969
Elevation40 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about Kent State or Sacramento State?
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