GAME DAY
Week 10 · TBDTOL radioRocket Radio Network
SAC radioHornet Sports Network
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Terms & eligibility
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k Sims
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) TOL
Home-field edge SAC
Model projection TOL
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Toledo @ Sacramento State
Your sims:Sims: SAC 0, TOL 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Sacramento State
Lvs Ohio48–7Lat Bowling Green38–10Lvs Massachusetts35–6
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Toledo vs Sacramento State Stats ComparisonToledo vs SAC Stats Comparison
| ToledoTOL | Sacramento StateSAC | |
|---|---|---|
| 36.3#28 | PPG | 15#135 |
| 23.6#69 | PA/G | 32.7#125 |
| 459#20 | YDS/G | 302.3#132 |
| 273.4#27 | PASS/G | 194.7#104 |
| 185.6#41 | RUSH/G | 107.6#126 |
| 6.7#20 | YDS/PLAY | 4.6#135 |
| 43.6%#46 | 3RD DOWN | 33.7%#115 |
| 43.6%#68 | OFF SUCCESS | 40.1%#102 |
| 32.9%#3 | DEF SUCCESS | 39.6%#57 |
| 1.38#14 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.02#138 |
| 1548 | ELO | 1019 |
| +0#70 | TO MARGIN | −10#137 |
| 0.23#33 | OFF PPA | -0.08#134 |
| -0.03#28 | DEF PPA | 0.19#119 |
| 66.3% | RET PROD | – |
| -2.1 | SP+ | -24.7 |
| -3.4#84 | FPI | -32.4#138 |
| -0.8 | SRS | -28.7 |
THE VENUE
Hornet StadiumLocationSacramento, CA
Capacity21,195
SurfaceTurf
Opened1969
Elevation40 ft
FAN NEWS
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