GAME DAY
Week 10 · TBDTOL radioRocket Radio Network
SAC radioHornet Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k Sims
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) TOL
Home-field edge SAC
Model projection TOL
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Toledo @ Sacramento State
Your sims:Sims: SAC 0, TOL 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Sacramento State
Sacramento State2026: 0–1 (0–1 MAC)
Lat Eastern Michigan28–17Sacramento State2026: 0–1 (0–1 MAC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Toledo vs Sacramento State Stats ComparisonToledo vs SAC Stats Comparison
| ToledoTOL | Sacramento StateSAC | |
|---|---|---|
| – | PPG | 17 |
| – | PA/G | 28 |
| – | YDS/G | 268 |
| – | PASS/G | 219 |
| – | RUSH/G | 49 |
| – | YDS/PLAY | 4.3 |
| – | 3RD DOWN | 21.4% |
| – | TO MARGIN | −1 |
| – | OFF PPA | -0.08 |
| – | DEF PPA | 0.06 |
| – | OFF SUCCESS | 34.4% |
| – | DEF SUCCESS | 41.4% |
| 66.3% | RET PROD | – |
| – | EXPLOSIVE | 1.03 |
| -9.1 | SP+ | -23.4 |
| -3.0#79 | FPI | -10.4#111 |
THE VENUE
Hornet StadiumLocationSacramento, CA
Capacity21,195
SurfaceTurf
Opened1969
Elevation40 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about Toledo or Sacramento State?
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TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
