Toledo vs Michigan StateTOL vs MSU · Week 1
How to Watch →Toledo opens the 2026 season against Michigan State on Friday, Sep 4 at Spartan Stadium.
SEASON
CFB VIBES MODEL
10,000 simulations10K simsThe Read
Toledo opens a 9.5-point underdog. Our model gives Toledo a 28% chance.
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (Elo) TOL
Home-field edge MSU
Market lean MSU
Model projection MSU
Each game samples a margin around the market spread and a final total around the market total.
Toledo @ Michigan State
Your sims:Sims: TOL 0, MSU 0
SCHEDULE
Full schedule →
Standings
Full standings →| Place | TEAM | CONF | OVERALL |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 |  Miami (OH)M-OH | 0–0 | 0–0 |
| 10 |  OhioOHIO | 0–0 | 0–0 |
| 11 |  Sacramento StateSAC | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 12 |  ToledoTOL | 0–0 | 0–0 |
| 13 |  Western MichiganWMU | 0–0 | 0–0 |
Rankings
All rankings →| Rank | AP TOP 25 |
|---|---|
| 1 |  Ohio StateOSU |
| 2 |  OregonORE |
| 3 |  GeorgiaUGA |
| 4 |  Notre DameND |
| – | ToledoTOL |
| Rank | COACHES |
|---|---|
| 1 | Ohio StateOSU |
| 2 | OregonORE |
| 3 | GeorgiaUGA |
| 4 |  TexasTEX |
| – | ToledoTOL |
PREDICTION MARKETS & ODDSMARKET & ODDS
All odds →All →THE LINE
SpreadMSU −9.5
Total47.5
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