GAME DAY
Week 11 · TBDSAC radioHornet Sports Network
CMU radioChippewa Sports Network
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsWIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
CMU win
77% One-score game
31%
77% One-score game
31%
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) CMU
Home-field edge CMU
Model projection CMU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Sacramento St @ Central Michigan
Your sims:Sims: CMU 0, SAC 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Sacramento State
Lvs Ohio48–7Lat Bowling Green38–10Lvs Massachusetts35–6
Central Michigan
Lvs Western Michigan21–14Lat Ohio31–14Wvs Akron41–17
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Sacramento State vs Central Michigan Stats ComparisonSAC vs CMU Stats Comparison
| Sacramento StateSAC | Central MichiganCMU | |
|---|---|---|
| 15#135 | PPG | 16.6#132 |
| 32.7#125 | PA/G | 25.6#85 |
| 302.3#132 | YDS/G | 292.4#134 |
| 194.7#104 | PASS/G | 108.1#135 |
| 107.6#126 | RUSH/G | 184.3#43 |
| 4.6#135 | YDS/PLAY | 4.9#124 |
| 33.7%#115 | 3RD DOWN | 34.8%#110 |
| 0.18#114 | DEF PPA | 0.16#112 |
| 40.1%#102 | OFF SUCCESS | 38.8%#117 |
| 39.6%#57 | DEF SUCCESS | 46.8%#127 |
| 1.02#138 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.22#75 |
| 1019 | ELO | 1223 |
| −10#137 | TO MARGIN | +1#61 |
| -0.08#134 | OFF PPA | 0.05#103 |
| – | RET PROD | 54.0% |
| -24.7 | SP+ | -16.7 |
| -32.4#138 | FPI | -14.3#121 |
| -28.7 | SRS | -12.6 |
THE VENUE
Kelly/Shorts StadiumLocationMount Pleasant, MI
Capacity30,255
SurfaceTurf
Opened1972
Elevation790 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about Sacramento State or Central Michigan?
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