GAME DAY
Week 12 · TBDCMU radioChippewa Sports Network
BUF radioBulls Sports Network
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Buffalo a 66% chance.
SeriesCentral Michigan leads 9–4 · Central Michigan won the last meeting, 38–19 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) BUF
Home-field edge BUF
Model projection BUF
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Central Michigan @ Buffalo
Your sims:Sims: BUF 0, CMU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Central Michigan
Lvs Western Michigan21–14Lat Ohio31–14Wvs Akron41–17
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Central Michigan vs Buffalo Stats ComparisonCMU vs Buffalo Stats Comparison
| Central MichiganCMU | BuffaloBUF | |
|---|---|---|
| 16.6#132 | PPG | 21.4#111 |
| 25.6#85 | PA/G | 25.6#85 |
| 292.4#134 | YDS/G | 324.3#120 |
| 108.1#135 | PASS/G | 159#128 |
| 184.3#43 | RUSH/G | 165.3#58 |
| 4.9#124 | YDS/PLAY | 4.3#136 |
| 34.8%#110 | 3RD DOWN | 36.8%#92 |
| 0.05#103 | OFF PPA | 0.02#117 |
| 0.16#112 | DEF PPA | 0.09#80 |
| 38.8%#117 | OFF SUCCESS | 35.1%#131 |
| 46.8%#127 | DEF SUCCESS | 38.3%#47 |
| 1.22#75 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.16#106 |
| 1223 | ELO | 1360 |
| +1#61 | TO MARGIN | −4#111 |
| 54.0% | RET PROD | -0.8% |
| -16.7 | SP+ | -13.9 |
| -14.3#121 | FPI | -12.9#114 |
| -12.6 | SRS | -14.6 |
THE VENUE
UB StadiumLocationAmherst, NY
Capacity30,270
SurfaceTurf
Opened1993
Elevation596 ft
FAN NEWS
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