GAME DAY
Week 13 · ·CMU radioChippewa Sports Network
BALL radioCardinal Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Central Michigan a 64% chance.
SeriesBall State leads 26–22–1 · Central Michigan won the last meeting, 37–34 · 2024
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) CMU
Home-field edge BALL
Model projection CMU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Central Michigan @ Ball State
Your sims:Sims: BALL 0, CMU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Central Michigan
Central Michigan2025: 7–6 (5–3 MAC)
Lvs Northwestern34–7Lvs Toledo21–3Wat Kent State28–16Central Michigan2025: 7–6 (5–3 MAC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Central Michigan vs Ball State Stats ComparisonCMU vs Ball State Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Central MichiganCMU | Ball StateBALL | |
|---|---|---|
| 22.5#105 | PPG | 15.8#132 |
| 23.5#54 | PA/G | 29.8#101 |
| 332.2#112 | YDS/G | 271.7#134 |
| 167.1#118 | PASS/G | 138#131 |
| 165.1#59 | RUSH/G | 133.7#96 |
| 5.5#81 | YDS/PLAY | 4.5#133 |
| 34.1%#115 | 3RD DOWN | 33.5%#119 |
| 0.08#32 | DEF PPA | 0.18#87 |
| 40.6%#91 | OFF SUCCESS | 32.5%#136 |
| 40.3%#51 | DEF SUCCESS | 44.7%#113 |
| 54.0% | RET PROD | 5.7% |
| 1.16#118 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.32#29 |
| +5#35 | TO MARGIN | −3#86 |
| 0.14#88 | OFF PPA | -0.00#133 |
| -15.1 | SP+ | -25.1 |
| -12.8#120 | FPI | -17.3#134 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Scheumann StadiumLocationMuncie, IN
Capacity22,500
SurfaceTurf
Opened1967
Elevation937 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about Central Michigan or Ball State?
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MORE WEEK 13 GAMES
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