GAME DAY
Week 11 · TBDMASS radioMinuteman Sports Network
TOL radioRocket Radio Network
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Terms & eligibility
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Toledo a 76% chance.
SeriesToledo leads 8–1 · Toledo won the last meeting, 38–23 · 2024
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) TOL
Home-field edge TOL
Model projection TOL
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Massachusetts @ Toledo
Your sims:Sims: TOL 0, MASS 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Massachusetts
Lat Buffalo25–18 (OT)Lvs Miami (OH)20–19Lvs Eastern Michigan38–14
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Massachusetts vs Toledo Stats ComparisonMASS vs Toledo Stats Comparison
| MassachusettsMASS | ToledoTOL | |
|---|---|---|
| 28#77 | PPG | 36.3#28 |
| 19.1#33 | PA/G | 23.6#69 |
| 339.1#113 | YDS/G | 459#20 |
| 179#117 | PASS/G | 273.4#27 |
| 160.1#64 | RUSH/G | 185.6#41 |
| 5.9#64 | YDS/PLAY | 6.7#20 |
| 35.4%#108 | 3RD DOWN | 43.6%#45 |
| 0.16#66 | OFF PPA | 0.23#32 |
| 43.3%#72 | OFF SUCCESS | 43.6%#68 |
| 38.7%#49 | DEF SUCCESS | 32.7%#2 |
| 1.19#92 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.38#14 |
| 1132 | ELO | 1548 |
| +7#10 | TO MARGIN | +0#70 |
| -0.03#29 | DEF PPA | -0.03#28 |
| -56.7% | RET PROD | 66.3% |
| -9.5 | SP+ | -2.1 |
| -13.8#118 | FPI | -3.4#84 |
| -13.6 | SRS | -0.8 |
THE VENUE
Glass BowlLocationToledo, OH
Capacity26,038
SurfaceTurf
Opened1937
Elevation595 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about Massachusetts or Toledo?
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