GAME DAY
Week 11 · ·KENT radioFlashes Radio Network
BGSU radioFalcon Radio Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Bowling Green a 76% chance.
SeriesBowling Green leads 47–16 · Kent State won the last meeting, 24–21 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) BGSU
Home-field edge BGSU
Model projection BGSU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Kent State @ Bowling Green
Your sims:Sims: BGSU 0, KENT 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Kent State
Kent State2025: 5–7 (4–4 MAC)
Wat Northern Illinois35–31Lvs Central Michigan28–16Wat Akron42–35 (OT)Kent State2025: 5–7 (4–4 MAC)Bowling Green
Bowling Green2025: 4–8 (2–6 MAC)
Wat Massachusetts45–14Lvs Akron19–16Lat Eastern Michigan27–21Bowling Green2025: 4–8 (2–6 MAC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Kent State vs Bowling Green Stats ComparisonKent State vs BGSU Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Kent StateKENT | Bowling GreenBGSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 21.2#115 | PPG | 20.5#117 |
| 33.6#128 | PA/G | 24.2#63 |
| 295.4#128 | YDS/G | 306.8#125 |
| 197.1#99 | PASS/G | 151.2#126 |
| 98.3#130 | RUSH/G | 155.5#71 |
| 5.2#104 | YDS/PLAY | 4.9#120 |
| 27.6%#135 | 3RD DOWN | 36.7%#98 |
| 0.07#118 | OFF PPA | 0.03#129 |
| 0.20#103 | DEF PPA | 0.15#60 |
| 34.7%#131 | OFF SUCCESS | 35.9%#127 |
| 44.3%#108 | DEF SUCCESS | 40.5%#55 |
| 1.36#14 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.24#68 |
| −3#86 | TO MARGIN | +2#54 |
| 64.1% | RET PROD | -6.2% |
| -22.4 | SP+ | -15.0 |
| -17.9#135 | FPI | -13.7#123 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Doyt L. Perry StadiumLocationBowling Green, OH
Capacity24,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1966
Elevation676 ft
FAN NEWS
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