Bowling Green Falcons Football

Bowling Green opens the 2026 season against Tarleton State on Saturday, Sep 5 at Doyt L. Perry Stadium.

The Read

Bowling Green opens a 2.5-point favorite. Our model gives Bowling Green a 56% chance.

WIN PROBABILITY

BGSU 56% TAR 44%

PROJECTED FINAL

Bowling Green

25

Tarleton State

22

BGSU win
56% One-score game
40%

What's driving the model

Home-field edge BGSU

Market lean BGSU

Model projection BGSU

Each game samples a margin around the market spread and a final total around the market total.

Sim the game Tarleton State @ Bowling Green

Your sims:Sims: BGSU 0, TAR 0

TAR@

Tarleton State @ Bowling Green

Sat, Sep 5 · 12:00 PM EDT

CFB VIBES MODELBGSU 56% to win

SIM NOW →

@

Bowling Green @ Nebraska

Sat, Sep 12 · 6:00 PM CDT

CFB VIBES MODELNEB 96% to win

FS1SIM NOW →

@

Bowling Green @ Iowa State

Sat, Sep 19 · 11:00 AM CDT

CFB VIBES MODELISU 87% to win

ESPNUSIM NOW →

@

South Florida @ Bowling Green

TBD

CFB VIBES MODELUSF 72% to win

SIM NOW →

Standings

Full standings →

Place	TEAM	CONF	OVERALL
2	AKRAkronAKR	0–0	0–0
3	BALLBall StateBALL	0–0	0–0
4	BGSUBowling GreenBGSU	0–0	0–0
5	BUFBuffaloBUF	0–0	0–0
6	CMUCentral MichiganCMU	0–0	0–0

Rankings

All rankings →

Rank	AP TOP 25
1	OSUOhio StateOSU
2	OREOregonORE
3	UGAGeorgiaUGA
4	NDNotre DameND
–	BGSUBowling GreenBGSU

Rank	COACHES
1	OSUOhio StateOSU
2	OREOregonORE
3	UGAGeorgiaUGA
4	TEXTexasTEX
–	BGSUBowling GreenBGSU