GAME DAY
Week 8 · ·Terms & eligibility
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Florida Atlantic opens a 7.5-point favorite. Our model gives Florida Atlantic a 73% chance.
SeriesSeries tied 3–3 · Florida Atlantic won the last meeting, 27–21 · 2025
73% One-score game
35% Cover FAU −7.5
53%
What's driving the model
Your sims:Sims: FAU 0, RICE 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
Model and market agree
Kalshi · $11,838 traded · as of Oct 20, 6:20 AM ETInformation only
Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →DraftKings · updated Oct 20, 6:02 AM ETNot gambling advice
Rice vs Florida Atlantic Stats ComparisonRice vs FAU Stats Comparison
| RiceRICE | Florida AtlanticFAU | |
|---|---|---|
| 17#131 | PPG | 35#37 |
| 29#112 | PA/G | 31.5#118 |
| 318.6#124 | YDS/G | 422.3#46 |
| 78.7#136 | PASS/G | 307.3#9 |
| 239.9#7 | RUSH/G | 115#122 |
| 5.1#118 | YDS/PLAY | 5.6#86 |
| 30.3%#133 | 3RD DOWN | 53.1%#9 |
| 0.12#89 | DEF PPA | 0.25#131 |
| 39.7%#107 | OFF SUCCESS | 45.0%#51 |
| 40.9%#72 | DEF SUCCESS | 42.5%#94 |
| 39.4% | RET PROD | 68.4% |
| 1.13#117 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.23#72 |
| 1128 | ELO | 1240 |
| −6#128 | TO MARGIN | +2#47 |
| -0.01#125 | OFF PPA | 0.17#57 |
| -13.4 | SP+ | 0.1 |
| -15.4#124 | FPI | -10.1#107 |
| -12.3 | SRS | -7.4 |
THE VENUE
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